GLASS’S Guide believes the 98 per cent increase in Vehicle Excise Duty recently announced by the Chancellor for a selected group of used cars, is certain to have an impact on their residual values.
But this will only happen when potential buyers make sense of the complex new rules, and identify those vehicles worst affected.
The cars that will experience the biggest jump in VED are those emitting over 226g CO2 per km, registered after March 1 2001 – but before March 23 2006. These cars, which move from the current band F to the new bands L or M, will see their VED jump from £210 to a minimum of £415 from next year – a significant amount relative to their likely value.
‘As prices for older cars reduce over time, the tax burden comes into greater focus for prospective buyers, affecting demand and values,’ said Adrian Rushmore, Managing Editor at EurotaxGlass’s.
‘Such a sharp rise in VED could well have implications for the used car market in the coming months and years, but much will depend on customers’ understanding of the changes.’
Rushmore suggests that widespread uncertainty about the detail of the VED changes is likely to reduce the likelihood of any dramatic falls in values for the affected cars in the short term.
However, he also reports that these same vehicles are already becoming characterised by above-average rates of depreciation.
‘We have seen a widening differential in used values between high and low polluters in the last two years, in particular because of increases in fuel costs – high polluters are usually also high consumers of fuel,’ he added.
‘The latest rises in VED will increasingly be viewed as an integral part of overall rises in motoring costs for high polluting cars, putting their values under further pressure.’