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Economy slows as decline in car sales and manufacturing hits growth

Time 11:14 am, January 11, 2019

BRITAIN’S economy continued to cool in the three months to November as a ‘steep decline’ in manufacturing activity – mainly vehicle production – hit growth amid increasing Brexit uncertainty.

Over the three-month period, gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 0.3 per cent compared with the previous quarter, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Growth of 0.4 per cent was recorded in the three months to October.

The ONS said the largest downward drag came from a fall in motor vehicle production of 4.3 per cent.

In November alone, factory output fell 0.4 per cent – the fifth consecutive month of decline and the manufacturing sector’s longest losing streak since the financial crisis in 2008.

The manufacturing sector has been hit by factory shutdowns – such as at Jaguar Land Rover – and weaker consumer demand for cars and declining diesel sales.

Head of national accounts at the ONS Rob Kent-Smith said: ‘Growth in the UK economy continued to slow in the three months to November 2018 after performing more strongly through the middle of the year.

‘Accountancy and house-building again grew but a number of other areas were sluggish. Manufacturing saw a steep decline, with car production and the often-erratic pharmaceutical industry both performing poorly.’

On a rolling three-month basis, the manufacturing sector contracted by 0.8 per cent and month on month it fell by 0.3 per cent.

Industrial production as a whole contracted by 0.8 per cent in the three months to November amid a global slowdown, as the US and China hammer out a new trade deal.

Month on month, the UK economy grew by 0.2 per cent in November, compared with growth of 0.1 per cent in October.

The lacklustre figures come as prime minister Theresa May again attempts to gain parliamentary approval for her Brexit deal.

Mike Jakeman, senior economist at PricewaterhouseCoopers, one of the Big Four auditors, said: ‘The latest monthly GDP data adds to existing impressions that the economy is slowing as uncertainty over Brexit intensifies.

‘The clear loss of momentum in the UK economy since the summer is as expected, given the ongoing lack of clarity on Brexit.

‘For as long as this remains unclear, businesses will continue to defer major investment plans and households will reconsider making big-ticket purchases.’

Month on month, construction grew by 0.6 per cent in November, manufacturing contracted by 0.3 per cent, while services activity rose by 0.3 per cent.

Separately, the ONS data also showed that Britain’s total trade deficit narrowed by £200m to £7.9bn in the three months to November 2018 as both goods and services exports increased by £100m more than their respective imports.

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Car Dealer has been covering the motor trade since 2008 as both a print and digital publication. In 2020 the title went fully digital and now provides daily motoring updates on this website for the car industry. A digital magazine is published once a month.

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